Causes Trump Statistics

• We create narratives from the causal relationships we invent

  • These act as natural heuristics

• Ignoring valid stereotypes in the neutral sense will cause suboptimal judgements

• Statistical results with a causal interpretation has a stronger effect in our thinking than non causal information

  • You are more likely to learn something by finding surprises in your own behavior than by hearing surprising facts of other people in general

LOK: 1. Introspective
RL: Thinking, fast and slow
IDEAS: Narratives Heuristics
#Mental_Control #Social_Intelligence #Strategic_Thinking