Evaluating Risk Takers Using Lindy
When evaluating risk only time matters, as sooner or later hidden risks generate an implosion (black swan).
This is independent to the stability of "good" results.
Eg. Romans judged their political system not by whether it made sense, but whether it worked.
LOK: 4. Management
RL: Skin in the game
IDEAS: Lindy Risk Evaluation Time Stressors Output Politics Stability
#Antifragility